Breakout candle trading 30 min 1hour 4 hour daily

Monday, July 12, 2010

(Symbol yellow)  breakout pullback ,Perfect very good ,usd chf daily 27 04 2010  breakout30min                                                                                                                                                                                                          Breakout  candle trading 30 min 4 hour only and This system can filter out many errors to 90%.                                                                                                                                                         I would like to speak about breakout trades on the Four Hour MACD system. I don't think we have really gone into detail with breakout trades. I, myself, I'm not a breakout trader. I don't think that's... It's a bit risky, but there are times that you can do it. We had it on the British Pound on Friday. You can see that we've used the one hour for a pullback to that breakout level, and then it moved away.
30 min 08/7/2010  breakout candle evenning star ,macd tc,volumes very much,ok all very good ,but don't trading because resistance daily wait candle for daily evenningstar




 sample daily gbp usd 08/7/2010weekly gbp usd 8/07/2010
But there's some other stuff you can look to as well. If you look at the picture I've posted. The inset plan, that's your four hour. It's very important that you can see that TC, trend continuation pattern that the MACD has already given on the four hours time frame. But what happened is that specific candle ran into that top resistance that has been tested previously. You can go on your own chart and make it a little bit wider and see that it has been tested. So, it's a very strong TC signal because of that engulfing there. It's a very nice engulfing candle, but it ran into that resistance, so how are we going to trade that? We expect the price to go up due to the fact that it's engulfing there. It found support on that bottom line. We're just above the 89 as you can see there as well, the blue moving average. It pulled back to the 21, and it moved away. So, all the rules have been satisfied for an up move. If that were not a resistance line there, that would have been a perfect entry. But, because of that resistance line there, how are you going to treat this?
don't trading Figure 30 min So, now, I would like a breakout trade. What is the purpose of a breakout trade? For me, the purpose of a breakout trade is: Because price has been confined into a certain pattern, like a triangle or a flag or whatever you want to call that pattern, whatever pattern is at that specific point, when the price breaks out, it means it's... I want it to carry on in the direction that it broke out. So, I want to stay in the trade as long as possible. But, I don't want to take it the moment it starts breaking out, so I want to have a bit of a confirmation that the breakout trade was true.









And, if you go and look at that 30 minute breakout one we've got there, I've marked that candle there with a little circle that I said was the pullback, but two candles before that was already a pullback. So you could have entered where that green number 1 entry was. On the one hour, it was very nice. It showed it very nice. But, look what happened at entry number 2, that I've marked there. That is a very strong trend continuation pattern. You get an up move and then three little red candles coming down and, then, a very big engulfing candle. Entry number 2, if you missed the first one, that was a sitter! And you sit in the trade as long as possible.
breakout pullback pullback ,Figure onbreakout
breakout 4 hour
breakout very good ,aud usd 4hour 10 06 2010 ,Figure on
breakout usd chf 4hour,Figure on
Right. If there was a breakout on the one hour, it pulled back to the breakout level. It moved away, and then it came down again to almost your entry level. I think you must have... It came down to two or three pips below the entry level number... Not number 1, but on the previous post that I posted there on the thread. You can see there. It came back to below, just about entry level. But the purpose, for me, of a breakout is not to take my stop loss away, to break even very quickly. I will bring it to just below the breakout level, so, if it comes inside and takes me out, well, that's tough luck. But that's the way that you can trade this.









My aim for a breakout trade is to stay within that breakout as long as possible. They're going to try and take you out around just after it broke out because that's the way they do it. That's why they pull it back, because they know there's a lot of breakout orders lying there. They pick it up. Sometimes, they run the price forty pips up, and then they bring it all the way down forty pips, and even more than that because they want to scare you. Where you were forty pips up, now, all of a sudden, you might find yourself fifteen or twenty pips down. But, as long as they haven't pierced the breakout level and brought it right back inside, you're still okay. That's my sign. That's what I'm using.
breakout pullback macd tc ,candle morningstar,Prices across under 89 sma ,Perfect very good , gbp aud 4 hour 9/02/ 2010









But, I wasn't there. I was a bit late. I was out, so I did not follow this breakout trade live. I wish I could have so that we could have discussed as it went on. I saw it. You can read it there that I said to the people that they must wait for the pullback and then the move away. But, you can go to a one hour and even a thirty minutes chart. I won't go to the fifteen minutes, but the one hour and the thirty minutes might give you better insight of the motion of the market. There you can see. Trade number 2, it pulled back to just, almost to the 21 and, then, moved away with an engulfing candle there. There, you could have entered with your eyes closed.









But, it's very important. The four hours must have already shown the direction. That's what that trend continuation pattern on the MACD has already shown, that it is going to be (not going to be). The probability is good that it's going to be a long signal and that it's going to go past that resistance line.









It's unfortunate that that resistance line was there. One cannot leave it out because the price has already found resistance against it previously. We're still within that triangle. It hasn't broken out, but we are also... That triangle lies within a channel, which gives the impression that the price might go above it. It was, actually, sort of a rising wedge. I think we talked about it on the EURUSD as well. You can see that. I also wrote there that I think it's going to break to the top, which it did. So, there were a lot of indications, yesterday that you could have followed and seen that the price went above that resistance, even on the EURUSD . Switch to the one hour and the thirty minutes, wait for that pullback, and then you are on board, and stay in the trade as long as possible



breakout 4hour 12/07/2010 look for 1hour ,30min



breakout 1hour 12/07/2010


daily 12/07/2010






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rhythm trading

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Right. Let's look at  that I've included there. It's about... I call it rhythm trading. Page 1, that triangle. We had three TC signals (well, number 3 was actually a zero break. Number 2 was a TC, which was a wrong deal, one of the very few where the MACD TC is wrong. Luckily, it was in the early morning. I was sleeping. I was on leave during that time, so I missed that trade. But, sometimes, sleep can keep you out of a bad trade as well. Number 1 was a beauty, but look what happens. Price was in a triangle, and then, all of a sudden, it broke out to the top above the 89, and then it pulled back towards the trend line. Actually, it went just a little bit through the 89. Then, it started moving back upwards at that capital A, that red A that I've got there. Now the MACD is only giving the signal on that huge candle, and a lot of people were waiting for that candle to close, because they were waiting for the MACD to give the signal. But it was all part of the market rhythm trading as we discussed on the thread itself. When the price breaks out, it tends to pull back to the breakout level and, then, carries on. That's exactly what happens there. After those three small candles there, I would have entered right on the 21 ema. I wouldn't even think twice, stop loss just below the trend line, and that's it. Target, the 200 sma. Remember, after a breakout, look for the pullback and then the carry on.







Right. Page number 2. Small triangle there. Look what happens there. Because the triangle is small, it gets support and resistance, bottom and top. There are a lot of tails inside the triangle. But, then, that nice little shooting star, that tail going out of the triangle to the top, and then it starts falling. I wouldn't even think twice. After the close of that candle, take the odds on for going down, stop loss just above the trend line or just above the body of that candle with a minimum of, I would say, about 25 pips. I wouldn't make the stop loss below 23, I would say. But beautiful indication there of what the market wants to do.






Page number 3. Look at that triangle. Look at the green lines, market rhythm. The price came from a to x, and then back to b, and then it came down to 1, below the 21 ema, that arrow just to the left-hand side, that's the 21 ema. The price went back up above the 21 ema, touching that top trend line, the a, b, 2 trend line, and then starts coming down all the way. And that's part of the rules at the end of an up move. You'll get that the price makes lower highs (a, b, and number 2 is lower highs; x and number 1 are lower lows) indicating that the price is going to come down. So, where do I enter? The MACD is giving just a zero break there. Beautiful signal. You take it; you come down to z for your profit target.






Page number 4. Look at that triangle. The price is caught between the 200 sma and the 89 sma. Look towards the end of the triangle. It gets bumpy because the price knows there's a lot of emotion that's got to build in there, that is building there, and the price needs direction. Now, it's going up and down. But look at those three circles there, getting support [resistance?] on the 89, the first two on that top trend line, and the third one did not go (I covered it a little bit with that green line), did not go to that trend line, just above the 89 sma. Remember that your last touch is the one that carries the most
weight, especially towards the end of the triangle. That's why I would look for a down move here. Look what happened. The price broke out. Then it pulled back towards the breakout level. It did not go to the trend line but to the 200 sma and the 21 and the 8 ema that was there. Then, it started moving down. People did not take that trade because of that huge signal candle on the MACD, but, that horizontal line, that h one, that's where I would have gotten involved because the rhythm trading was in place. The price did pull back to the 200. It starts moving down, and, when it gets to that horizontal line, I know the odds are in my favor that the rhythm trading is in place. It was a breakout level. There was a pullback and a continuation, and that's when I will switch to the one hour to get a nice entry place, and it is a nice stop loss. Look at the one hour, how it looks at that specific point, and then you enter the market there.







Right. Page 5. There's another triangle. Look towards the end. You can see candles getting up and downs, and then, on the MACD, there were three green TC signals towards the end. Now, that's what I'm trying to tell you people, to be careful within a triangle to watch its end. You might get some TC signals given, very slight. If you'll look at the difference between the MACD bars, you will find that it's hardly a TC given there. But, in this case, it would have worked out if you took it and put the stop loss just below that candle. On number a, number b, and number c, you would have been right, but what I wanted to show you here is that the price actually broke out. And, at that horizontal line, h, that's where I would have started looking to get involved if there was a pullback on the one hour. And, if you look at the inset, it just broke out and just went on. There was no safe chance to get in there, because remember, in that one hour, the price can move up and down 30 pips, 40 pips, and even take out your stop loss. So, I won't recommend going to a lower time frame. I have done thirty minutes to see whether the thirty minutes has given sort of a pull back and a nice move away to get in. I won't recommend that. You can do it if you've got experience on it, but this was no safe chance, what I would call it. There was no real safe chance where you could say, "Right, I can get into this trade safely, and I can let it run. So, that was a missed chance, and you're going to get those.






Right. What I want to say is that the MACD is there for confirmation. You cannot trade off the MACD solely. If you just trade TC’s, yes, but then you’re going to miss some huge candle trades because, normally, when the TC is there, what I’ve seen lately is the move, when it starts moving, the candles are big because there’s a lot of uncertainty of direction. That’s why the candles are big. You’ll get a slow down and then a big candle moving away, and that’s when the MACD is giving a TC. So, now we have to use market rhythm trading. You’ve got to know the market rhythm trading to really get involved. Like the trade I did on Friday, it’s to really analyze the whole situation to see for yourself what type of emotion is building up there. And what are the chances that it is going to do this or that? Then wait for confirmation in your candles, like a morning star, an engulfing candle, a hammer, or a shooting star, and, if the MACD is confirming that, then you’re lucky. You take it. But, sometimes that candle is big and it’s fast, moving away, but, when it starts moving and you’ve analyzed it and are satisfied that it is within the rhythm  trading of the market, you can switch to the one hour and get a better entry there.
So, it’s not just rhythm trading the one hour. It’s looking on the four hour, analyzing it. Get the rhythm trading correct. Get the candle emotion correct, and then switch to the one hour, when it starts doing the thing that you have analyzed that it might do. And, then, get in on a better price on the one hour. I hope this has helped you.
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today eur usd

Thursday, June 24, 2010

today eur usd Daily 12/04/2010 buy 1.3450-1.3550 stoploss1.3300 target 1.4000-1.4600


                                                            today eur usd daily 19/04/2010 buy 1.3400-1.3500 stoploss1.3200-1.3250 ,breakout 5 min,15 min,30min,1hour wait
                                                                today eur usd 30 min 20/04/2010 pullback wait

today eur usd 26/04/2010 1min strategy Attacking Support and Resistance


today eur usd 27/04/2010 1min strategy Attacking Support and Resistance
today eur usd 27/04/2010 30min breakout 
 
today eur usd 4h 27/04/2010
today eur usd 30 min breakout 30/04/2010 buy 1.3310-1.3320 stoploss 1.3240 tp1 1.3400

today eur usd 4hour breakout 30/04/2010
today eur usd 30/04/2010 1min strategy Attacking Support and Resistance
today eur usd monthly 04/06/2010 support 200sma or 1.2000-1.1980

today eur usd 30 min breakout, evening star candle,09/06/2010 buy 1.2000 stoploss 1.1940



today eur usd daily 09/06/2010 , evening star candle, Divergence, 
today eur usd 4hour breakout 25/06/2010

























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today gbp usd

Monday, June 14, 2010

today gbp usd 30 min 13/04/2010 buy1.5370 stoploss 1.5330 target 1.5500-1.5700
today gbp usd 4h ,breakout ,macd tc ,candle morningstar   01/06/2010 buy1.4560 stoploss 1.4450


today gbp usd 30 min 02/06/2010 ,morningstar candle ,macd green,rsi 30 and 1 bar ,volume 13 ema ,fibo 61.8%, 200sma,buy 1.4590 stoploss1.4550 target 21 ema or 1.4640


today gbp usd 5min 02/06/2010,three Divergence ,morningstar candle,buy 1.4590 stoploss1.4550 target 21 ema or 1.4640




today gbp usd 7/06/2010 1min strategy Attacking Support and Resistance buy 1.4518-1.4520 stoploss 1.4480-1.4490 profit 21ema
today gbp usd 4h 7/06/2010

today gbp usd 4hour 10/06/2010 , evening star candle,

breakout,buy 1.4600 stoploss 1.4500 ,profit 200 sma or fibo 38%














                                                         today gbp usd 4hour 14/06/2010 , breakout,buy 1.4750 stoploss 1.4650



































 


























































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today usd chf

Thursday, June 3, 2010



today usd chf 4h 13/04/2010 sell 1.0570 stoploss 1.0770
today usd chf 27/04/2010 1min strategy Attacking Support and Resistance

today usd chf 30min breakout 27/04/2010


today usd chf 4h 27/04/2010

today usd chf 30min breakout 13/05/2010
today 30min 27/05/2010 buy 1.1620-1.1630 stoploss1.1550-1.1570 tp 1 1.1700


today 30min 03/06/2010 morningstar candle ,trendline,macd Divergence, buy 1.1548 stoploss1.1500 (no trading) be
today eur usd 30min 03/06/2010, support




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Market Rhythm

Thursday, May 6, 2010

The market has a rhythm that if recognized can make trading so much easier. It is
something that must be learned over time and take a while to master. But when that is
achieved the resulting effect on trading is enormous. So look at the next video and make
sure you understand the concept. That will also help you to stretch some profit targets
when trading the MLTS. You can set the moving average as the profit target if that is
better then the Secondary level Profit target. When the secondary level profit target is
breached the moving average according to the market rhythm will then be the next target.
Please copy this link to your browser to play back your recording:
Recording Name: 4Hour Rhythm
These videos are not part of the selling price but were added as a bonus. They
are hosted on the www.gatherplce.net servers and are therefore depended
on their server availability as well as server loads. Check your firewall
settings in case of difficulty viewing. We have found some overload at times.
Just try again. Sometimes the video starts without voice. Just exit and retry
again. The videos have been tested and they are working when all is going well.
SOME CAUTION
I have to tell you this. The smaller the timeframe is used the more false breakouts
occur. As we are trading breakouts in the direction of the overall market condition
the smaller the timeframe the more percentage false breakouts occur. I have
spoken to some hedge fund traders and they do hunt stops. That is what I have been told.
There is however a very good way to trade these false breakouts. I will show a few. If this approach is traded the success rate is very high although much less trades.This is how it works.
1. We don’t take any breakout trades. We wait for a pullback into the pattern (in
our example a triangle) and enter at point “a” with our stoploss at point “b”.
2. The stops of those that took the breakout trade is normally at point 1,2 or 3
depending on how aggressive or conservative they approach the trade.
Sometimes there will only be one stoploss place and sometimes there will be
two. We will look into some examples later on.
3. Our take profit targets is set at those stoploss places that are under attack.
4. Our Risk:Reward ratio needs to be at leas 1:1.2 minimum.
5. First determine the stoploss size and then determine if we can get a R:R ratio
that is better then 1:1 to the stoploss placement of those that took the breakout trade.
6. Secure a breakeven situation as soon as 50%-60% of profit target is reached.7. If the speed is quick and it goes on then ride the tide or take some profit after  50%-60% and give the remainder a chance to ride. Waiting for a news announcement and there was an attempted break to the




downside before the news and must not be seen as a false breakout but rather an attempt



to get the trigger happy to enter before the time. The real breakout came at the black



arrow with the stops most likely at no 1, 2 or 3. Then the price retraced back into the



pattern with our entry at “a”, stop at “b” and profit target at “c”. Stoploss 2 and 3 falls



outside our 1:1 risk/reward ratio therefore we only have one profit target and that is at



stoploss number 3. Look how the price tested the upper trendline exactly and then break



the bottom trendline. That is now the correct direction as the hunting was over and now



you can enter and use the gain you made as a stoploss.



That was a 25pip up gain and a 30pip down gain.
Profit target was reached with the Multi Level System as discussed.
Look at this setup. 25Pips trading the hunting and 40pips trading the MLS after the true



breakout.



Another handing out of balls just to collect them again. They can see the depth of



orders and they knew that there were some orders at the bottom of the channel and



price will always move to where the demand is lying. They were not worried as there



stops are way below the bottom channel. If you see something like this on a 4Hour chart



you know that there is something big coming and you can position yourself to take
advantage of it.
Look how there was two attempts of a breakout at “Z”. Stops was most likely at




“X” and “Y”. There were breakout orders picked up on 2 occasions and both stoploss



levels were taken out. That was a golden opportunity to get some hunting pips in the bag.



Lets see it on the 15min timeframe.
1hour chart
False breakout to the bottom and then a true breakout to the top. +90 Pips.




Caution



Look for patterns that has some sort of length in terms of candles. Don’t use a short



pattern formed over only a few candles. Give it a fair chance to build up.
This pattern on the 15min chart is worth 13pips so don’t even consider it. Make sure you




have enough pips to have a fair chance and if there is a lot of emotion build into the



pattern formed over some time. There is no rule to determine that. With time you will see



the building up and know that they might do some shaking out. If you spot one on the



1hour it is worth looking at it on the 15min as your secondary level setup and take it from



there trying to get the hunting portion as well as the true breakout part.

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