Market Rhythm

Thursday, May 6, 2010

The market has a rhythm that if recognized can make trading so much easier. It is
something that must be learned over time and take a while to master. But when that is
achieved the resulting effect on trading is enormous. So look at the next video and make
sure you understand the concept. That will also help you to stretch some profit targets
when trading the MLTS. You can set the moving average as the profit target if that is
better then the Secondary level Profit target. When the secondary level profit target is
breached the moving average according to the market rhythm will then be the next target.
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Recording Name: 4Hour Rhythm
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SOME CAUTION
I have to tell you this. The smaller the timeframe is used the more false breakouts
occur. As we are trading breakouts in the direction of the overall market condition
the smaller the timeframe the more percentage false breakouts occur. I have
spoken to some hedge fund traders and they do hunt stops. That is what I have been told.
There is however a very good way to trade these false breakouts. I will show a few. If this approach is traded the success rate is very high although much less trades.This is how it works.
1. We don’t take any breakout trades. We wait for a pullback into the pattern (in
our example a triangle) and enter at point “a” with our stoploss at point “b”.
2. The stops of those that took the breakout trade is normally at point 1,2 or 3
depending on how aggressive or conservative they approach the trade.
Sometimes there will only be one stoploss place and sometimes there will be
two. We will look into some examples later on.
3. Our take profit targets is set at those stoploss places that are under attack.
4. Our Risk:Reward ratio needs to be at leas 1:1.2 minimum.
5. First determine the stoploss size and then determine if we can get a R:R ratio
that is better then 1:1 to the stoploss placement of those that took the breakout trade.
6. Secure a breakeven situation as soon as 50%-60% of profit target is reached.7. If the speed is quick and it goes on then ride the tide or take some profit after  50%-60% and give the remainder a chance to ride. Waiting for a news announcement and there was an attempted break to the




downside before the news and must not be seen as a false breakout but rather an attempt



to get the trigger happy to enter before the time. The real breakout came at the black



arrow with the stops most likely at no 1, 2 or 3. Then the price retraced back into the



pattern with our entry at “a”, stop at “b” and profit target at “c”. Stoploss 2 and 3 falls



outside our 1:1 risk/reward ratio therefore we only have one profit target and that is at



stoploss number 3. Look how the price tested the upper trendline exactly and then break



the bottom trendline. That is now the correct direction as the hunting was over and now



you can enter and use the gain you made as a stoploss.



That was a 25pip up gain and a 30pip down gain.
Profit target was reached with the Multi Level System as discussed.
Look at this setup. 25Pips trading the hunting and 40pips trading the MLS after the true



breakout.



Another handing out of balls just to collect them again. They can see the depth of



orders and they knew that there were some orders at the bottom of the channel and



price will always move to where the demand is lying. They were not worried as there



stops are way below the bottom channel. If you see something like this on a 4Hour chart



you know that there is something big coming and you can position yourself to take
advantage of it.
Look how there was two attempts of a breakout at “Z”. Stops was most likely at




“X” and “Y”. There were breakout orders picked up on 2 occasions and both stoploss



levels were taken out. That was a golden opportunity to get some hunting pips in the bag.



Lets see it on the 15min timeframe.
1hour chart
False breakout to the bottom and then a true breakout to the top. +90 Pips.




Caution



Look for patterns that has some sort of length in terms of candles. Don’t use a short



pattern formed over only a few candles. Give it a fair chance to build up.
This pattern on the 15min chart is worth 13pips so don’t even consider it. Make sure you




have enough pips to have a fair chance and if there is a lot of emotion build into the



pattern formed over some time. There is no rule to determine that. With time you will see



the building up and know that they might do some shaking out. If you spot one on the



1hour it is worth looking at it on the 15min as your secondary level setup and take it from



there trying to get the hunting portion as well as the true breakout part.

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